0x87b264...884056

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

-$2

Trade Count

114

Sharpe Ratio

-0.10

Sortino Ratio

-0.11

Max Drawdown

8054.7%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

0.86

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	5.02	Mar 5
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Mar 5
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	2.004	Mar 2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.4¢	182.91	Feb 16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	182.914	Feb 15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	BUY	72.0¢	1.389	Feb 15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	BUY	88.0¢	1.136	Feb 15
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?	SELL	99.7¢	180.36	Feb 15
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	180.361	Feb 14
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	99.8¢	183.18	Feb 11
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	99.9¢	183.183	Feb 11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.8¢	189.07	Feb 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.9¢	189.08	Feb 3
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?	SELL	99.9¢	185.18	Jan 29
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	185.185	Jan 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.6¢	189.37	Jan 28
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.8¢	189.379	Jan 27
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.7¢	188.37	Jan 27
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.8¢	188.377	Jan 27
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.6¢	188.56	Jan 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.39

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.4%

Win Consistency39.5%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.15

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.15

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity114 trades · 25 active days

P&L Calendar

$594d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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