0x882b45...81a746

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$6.1K

Trade Count

295

Sharpe Ratio

-2.58

Sortino Ratio

-4.40

Max Drawdown

213.9%

ROI

9.6%

Profit Factor

6.45

Kelly Fraction

0.422

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike seven countries in March?	BUY	1.7¢	30	Mar 5
Will Iran strike seven countries in March?	BUY	1.1¢	43	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	82.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	82.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Iran strike eight countries in March?	BUY	12.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Iran strike eight countries in March?	BUY	10.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	69.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	69.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran strike seven countries in March?	BUY	1.5¢	938.98	Mar 4
Will Iran strike seven countries in March?	BUY	1.5¢	30	Mar 4
Will Iran strike seven countries in March?	BUY	1.5¢	30	Mar 4
Will Iran strike seven countries in March?	BUY	1.5¢	1.015	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	81.0¢	80	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	80.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Iran strike seven countries in March?	SELL	1.2¢	1,020.19	Mar 4
Will Iran strike eight countries in March?	BUY	6.8¢	100	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	87.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	SELL	63.0¢	284.14	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	SELL	64.0¢	7.813	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	SELL	64.0¢	1.563	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.5%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.59

Drawdown Resilience0.47

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity295 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,3522d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue