0x88a507...1c22c1

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.0%

Total P&L

+$23

Trade Count

119

Sharpe Ratio

0.08

Sortino Ratio

0.22

Max Drawdown

834.8%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

1.82

Kelly Fraction

0.292

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	6.15	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	6.148	Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	82.0¢	10.97	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ET	BUY	99.4¢	8.048	Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	82.0¢	10.976	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	99.6¢	9.04	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	BUY	99.5¢	9.045	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	98.9¢	5.056	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	83.0¢	11.76	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	5.051	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	5.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.4¢	6.16	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	5.051	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	11.765	Mar 3
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.4¢	6.16	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.4¢	6.05	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.4¢	1.127	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.4¢	7.187	Mar 3
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.1¢	9.81	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.02

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.8%

Win Consistency51.2%

Profit Factor0.48

Drawdown Resilience0.39

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39

Weekly Sharpe est.0.30

Trading Activity82 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$1145d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue