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0x88cb20...aaddf5

0x88cb20...aaddf5
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
18.2%
Total P&L
-$21
Trade Count
31
Sharpe Ratio
0.56
Sortino Ratio
1.47
Max Drawdown
126.2%
ROI
-49.2%
Profit Factor
0.02
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY5.2¢19.231Mar 5
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?SELL11.0¢13.18Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?BUY26.0¢3.846Feb 27
US strike on Cuba by March 31?BUY6.5¢15.385Feb 27
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?BUY8.0¢12.5Feb 27
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY11.4¢8.772Feb 26
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL88.6¢1.14Feb 26
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?BUY1.4¢71.429Feb 26
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?BUY24.0¢4.167Feb 26
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?BUY72.5¢4.138Feb 26
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?BUY0.3¢333.333Feb 26
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?BUY2.4¢41.667Feb 22
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on February 20, 2026?BUY1.3¢224.8Feb 20
Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?BUY1.1¢90.909Feb 18
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?BUY15.2¢13.184Feb 15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY8.0¢25Feb 15
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?BUY6.3¢15.873Feb 15
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?BUY76.0¢5Feb 12
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?BUY77.0¢5Feb 12
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?BUY22.0¢5Feb 12

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%52%< 10%10%10–20%21%20–30%30–50%50–70%10%70–80%3%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity31 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$391d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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