0x89525513Ae5c73C27fdaF64e69b5c520E39D1F26-1769959819402

0x895255...9d1f26

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.3%

Total P&L

-$554

Trade Count

185

Sharpe Ratio

-0.07

Sortino Ratio

-0.23

Max Drawdown

1964.6%

ROI

-2.5%

Profit Factor

0.74

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	BUY	18.0¢	166.579	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	54.0¢	555.556	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	64.5¢	517.7	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	84.0¢	594.886	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	SELL	41.4¢	81.71	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	BUY	33.4¢	599.211	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	BUY	9.0¢	2,086.9	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	SELL	52.7¢	975.69	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	BUY	30.4¢	987.256	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	495.75	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	BUY	59.6¢	503.04	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	BUY	68.7¢	727.859	Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	14.9¢	670.643	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	57.9¢	517.703	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	SELL	31.5¢	715.17	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	SELL	78.0¢	153.23	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	65.0¢	792.1	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	28.0¢	715.174	Mar 4
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	SELL	79.1¢	252.51	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	32.9¢	118.541	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.46

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.6%

Win Consistency37.7%

Profit Factor0.22

Drawdown Resilience0.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.13

Trading Activity185 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,45512d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue