0x8a9fe2...93e03b

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.2%

Total P&L

+$6.0K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.60

Sortino Ratio

14.34

Max Drawdown

2884.0%

ROI

27.8%

Profit Factor

5.21

Kelly Fraction

0.365

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

048.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	66.6¢	252.252	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	40.0¢	420	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	61.4¢	490.258	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	19.9¢	65.327	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	19.0¢	1,000	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	25.2¢	2,000	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	29.7¢	1,853.288	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	61.1¢	900.1	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	22.1¢	599.985	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	22.0¢	603.15	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	63.9¢	93.734	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	59.9¢	100	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	58.0¢	54.155	Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	5.8¢	540.04	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	26.0¢	603.154	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	31.0¢	471.89	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	2.2¢	194.545	Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	6.3¢	167.147	Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	6.6¢	64.83	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	11.7¢	493.612	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing48.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.66

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.0%

Win Consistency45.5%

Profit Factor1.26

Drawdown Resilience1.02

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.02

Weekly Sharpe est.0.77

Trading Activity94 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

+$4,2102d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue