0x8b052e...dc91f6

Smart Score

Win Rate

92.1%

Total P&L

+$1.4K

Trade Count

3,873

Sharpe Ratio

-1.09

Sortino Ratio

-1.32

Max Drawdown

1085.4%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

3.35

Kelly Fraction

0.646

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?	SELL	98.7¢	20.547	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	90.7¢	97.87	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	10	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	375.88	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	125.63	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.3¢	126.26	Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	99.2¢	126.52	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?	BUY	98.6¢	126.77	Mar 5
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	SELL	98.3¢	127.42	Mar 5
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	98.6¢	46.72	Mar 5
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	BUY	98.1¢	127.42	Mar 5
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	98.4¢	46.72	Mar 5
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	SELL	98.3¢	108.01	Mar 5
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	SELL	98.3¢	10	Mar 5
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	SELL	98.3¢	9.28	Mar 5
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	BUY	98.2¢	95.9	Mar 5
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	BUY	98.2¢	31.39	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.3¢	126.01	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	110.227	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	15.52	Mar 5

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.28

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.2%

Win Consistency42.9%

Profit Factor0.61

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity3,873 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$18,9141d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue