0x8b4125...43bdaf

Smart Score

Win Rate

79.1%

Total P&L

+$3.3K

Trade Count

360

Sharpe Ratio

0.83

Sortino Ratio

4.45

Max Drawdown

4497.3%

ROI

30.0%

Profit Factor

5.16

Kelly Fraction

0.638

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

046.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	1.9¢	70	Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.2¢	70	Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	98.1¢	70	Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	98.3¢	70	Mar 5
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	1.7¢	60	Mar 5
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	98.4¢	60	Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	83.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	17.1¢	10	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	4.4¢	100	Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	95.7¢	100	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	1.9¢	90	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	98.2¢	90	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	2.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.1¢	100	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	1.4¢	90	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.7¢	90	Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	2.1¢	80	Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	2.3¢	80	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	50.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	50.1¢	50	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing46.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.54

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.0%

Win Consistency46.0%

Profit Factor1.20

Drawdown Resilience0.97

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.97

Weekly Sharpe est.0.74

Trading Activity360 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,9240d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue