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0x8bd823...f212df

0x8bd823...f212df
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
77.1%
Total P&L
+$2.2K
Trade Count
87
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Sortino Ratio
0.02
Max Drawdown
82.0%
ROI
3.2%
Profit Factor
2.78
Kelly Fraction
0.494
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY95.1¢210.321Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY87.0¢4,597.701Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?SELL84.2¢1,306.01Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY76.6¢1,306.01Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY91.0¢3,296.703Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?SELL20.9¢4,687.5Mar 2
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY72.0¢1,388.203Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY75.3¢1,327.396Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY75.2¢1,329.787Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?BUY96.4¢518.443Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL99.8¢3,095.97Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY78.6¢636.386Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY96.9¢3,095.975Feb 28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY91.0¢549.524Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL71.5¢1,445.6Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL71.2¢2,911.98Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY69.2¢1,445.602Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY68.7¢2,911.987Feb 28
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?BUY76.0¢65.756Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?BUY93.6¢106.862Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%10–20%20–30%4%30–50%7%50–70%9%70–80%14%80–90%61%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.74
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.8%
Win Consistency75.5%
Profit Factor0.82
Drawdown Resilience0.67
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67
Weekly Sharpe est.0.51
Trading Activity87 trades · 35 active days
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P&L Calendar
$31,7797d profit28d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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