0x8be4f9...2468dc

Smart Score

Win Rate

96.2%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.96

Sortino Ratio

1.02

Max Drawdown

76.7%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.12

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	1.2	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	1.22	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.6¢	1.4	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 5?	BUY	99.2¢	1.31	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	1.76	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	1.7	Mar 2
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	2,751.94	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	1.51	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	1.78	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 4?	BUY	99.6¢	1.99	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 3?	BUY	99.5¢	1.65	Mar 2
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	1.59	Mar 2
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	1.82	Mar 2
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	2,751.94	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	1.72	Mar 2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?	BUY	99.9¢	1.34	Feb 27
Will XRP reach $2.00 in February?	BUY	99.7¢	1.15	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	1.1	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.38	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 28?	BUY	99.5¢	1.29	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.11

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.3%

Win Consistency61.1%

Profit Factor0.52

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity59 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$900d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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