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0x8C0dbb927B446fa4437931f0765eae04A177F04C-1770617745081

0x8c0dbb...77f04c
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
73.3%
Total P&L
-$269
Trade Count
307
Sharpe Ratio
0.71
Sortino Ratio
20.65
Max Drawdown
2775.0%
ROI
-2.9%
Profit Factor
0.82
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY47.0¢21.277Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY49.0¢204.082Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY49.0¢61.224Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY64.0¢46.875Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.9¢119.19Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY50.0¢200Mar 5
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?BUY54.0¢37.037Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY69.0¢43.478Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?BUY85.0¢35.294Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY86.0¢116.279Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL61.0¢1,279.4Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY85.0¢1.176Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY79.0¢12.658Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY76.0¢26.316Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY39.0¢51.282Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?BUY74.0¢13.514Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY76.0¢13.158Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY40.0¢50Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?BUY74.0¢27.027Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY76.0¢26.316Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%5%10–20%8%20–30%14%30–50%25%50–70%9%70–80%6%80–90%32%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.51
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.9%
Win Consistency29.3%
Profit Factor0.71
Drawdown Resilience0.58
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity307 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4,0693d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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