0x8c1034...0e8ef4

Smart Score

Win Rate

24.6%

Total P&L

+$16

Trade Count

251

Sharpe Ratio

0.30

Sortino Ratio

1.96

Max Drawdown

2656.7%

ROI

5.5%

Profit Factor

1.19

Kelly Fraction

0.040

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?	BUY	10.9¢	9.174	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	42.0¢	2.381	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	9.091	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	9.091	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	9.091	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	13.8¢	7.246	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	38.6¢	2.591	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	39.5¢	2.532	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	7.69	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	10.8¢	9.259	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	17.4¢	5.747	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	15.6¢	6.41	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	6.0¢	7.69	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	7.0¢	7.14	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	5.3¢	7.14	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	44.5¢	6.742	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	11.0¢	8.84	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	SELL	17.0¢	13.15	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	12.0¢	11.11	Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.9%

Win Consistency28.8%

Profit Factor0.34

Drawdown Resilience0.28

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity251 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$1354d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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