0x8c197c...3156cd

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.9%

Total P&L

+$2.2K

Trade Count

567

Sharpe Ratio

-0.17

Sortino Ratio

-0.31

Max Drawdown

955.2%

ROI

1.0%

Profit Factor

1.32

Kelly Fraction

0.154

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?	BUY	47.5¢	35.25	Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?	SELL	0.6¢	366.3	Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?	SELL	0.7¢	2,000	Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?	BUY	5.9¢	27.85	Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?	BUY	5.9¢	2,338.45	Sep 17
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?	SELL	49.0¢	286	Sep 17
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?	BUY	43.0¢	740.95	Sep 17
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?	BUY	43.0¢	1,377.43	Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?	SELL	92.0¢	346.31	Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?	SELL	92.0¢	5	Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?	SELL	92.0¢	568.69	Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?	SELL	92.0¢	60	Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?	SELL	93.0¢	10	Sep 17
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?	BUY	45.0¢	168.3	Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?	BUY	95.0¢	990	Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?	SELL	4.0¢	594.83	Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?	SELL	4.3¢	5,280	Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?	SELL	7.0¢	10,880.64	Sep 17
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?	BUY	16.0¢	13,373.24	Sep 17
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?	SELL	48.0¢	4,022	Sep 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.57

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.4%

Win Consistency32.3%

Profit Factor0.27

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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