0x8c33e8...65ce95

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.0%

Total P&L

-$548

Trade Count

1,810

Sharpe Ratio

0.96

Sortino Ratio

6.55

Max Drawdown

2295.6%

ROI

-0.6%

Profit Factor

0.94

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	89.6¢	60	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	36	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	70.0¢	27.85	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	70.0¢	11	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	70.0¢	0.15	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	83.0¢	6	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	30	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	35	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	82.7¢	7.38	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	82.7¢	27.62	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	60.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	74.0¢	8	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	74.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	60.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 4?	SELL	58.0¢	0.87	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 4?	SELL	58.0¢	7.121	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 4?	SELL	58.0¢	6	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 4?	SELL	58.0¢	6	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 4?	SELL	99.0¢	20	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.37

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.7%

Win Consistency52.9%

Profit Factor0.65

Drawdown Resilience0.52

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity1,810 trades · 38 active days

P&L Calendar

$27,7317d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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