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0x8cb157...123a07

0x8cb157...123a07
Smart Score
11
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
+$3.2K
Trade Count
305
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Sortino Ratio
-0.14
Max Drawdown
140.8%
ROI
2.8%
Profit Factor
1.42
Kelly Fraction
0.148
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
011.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?SELL31.0¢279.68Nov 5
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?SELL40.0¢62.5Nov 5
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?SELL40.0¢625Nov 5
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?SELL40.0¢13.78Nov 5
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?SELL40.0¢44.875Nov 5
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?SELL40.0¢2.475Nov 5
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?SELL40.0¢289.73Nov 5
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?SELL41.0¢1,345Nov 5
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?SELL42.0¢5,777Nov 5
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?SELL43.0¢2,888Nov 5
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?SELL44.0¢650Nov 5
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?SELL45.0¢3,883.96Nov 5
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?BUY46.0¢10,865Oct 25
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?SELL61.0¢4,279.7Oct 25
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?SELL61.1¢3,907.22Oct 25
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?BUY45.0¢4,997Oct 23
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?SELL61.3¢2,210.78Oct 23
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?SELL61.6¢1,378.88Oct 23
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?SELL61.7¢71.34Oct 23
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?BUY59.0¢3,661Oct 22

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%18%30–50%75%50–70%3%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.63
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.4%
Win Consistency45.5%
Profit Factor0.30
Drawdown Resilience0.24
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24
Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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