0x8cc422...d7e84d

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.7%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.10

Sortino Ratio

-0.08

Max Drawdown

44.7%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

0.21

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.9¢	58.39	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	58.39	Mar 4
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.8¢	55.99	Feb 7
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.9¢	55.995	Jan 22
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	BUY	99.6¢	56.004	Oct 17
Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2024?	SELL	99.5¢	0.3	Dec 20
Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2024?	BUY	99.8¢	0.301	Dec 20
Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?	SELL	97.0¢	0.21	Dec 20
Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?	BUY	97.5¢	0.215	Dec 20
Will Kyle Pitts be the top Fantasy Tight End?	SELL	99.5¢	0.8	Dec 20
Will Kyle Pitts be the top Fantasy Tight End?	BUY	99.8¢	0.802	Dec 20
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the Western Conference?	SELL	99.4¢	0.13	Dec 9
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the Western Conference?	BUY	99.5¢	0.131	Dec 9
Will Phil Murphy be the next DNC chair?	SELL	98.7¢	0.62	Dec 9
Will Phil Murphy be the next DNC chair?	BUY	99.6¢	0.622	Dec 9
Will Girona FC win La Liga?	SELL	99.7¢	0.52	Dec 9
Will Girona FC win La Liga?	BUY	99.8¢	0.521	Dec 9
Will Lauri Markkanen lead the NBA in scoring?	SELL	99.5¢	0.88	Nov 25
Will Lauri Markkanen lead the NBA in scoring?	BUY	99.6¢	0.884	Nov 25
Martin Small announced as next BlackRock CEO?	SELL	98.6¢	0.49	Nov 25

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.02

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.8%

Win Consistency52.6%

Profit Factor0.48

Drawdown Resilience0.39

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39

Weekly Sharpe est.0.30

Trading Activity5 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$561d profit2d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue