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0x8d3434...4528a3

0x8d3434...4528a3
Smart Score
4
Win Rate
22.7%
Total P&L
-$8
Trade Count
33
Sharpe Ratio
0.67
Sortino Ratio
110.00
Max Drawdown
326.0%
ROI
-19.3%
Profit Factor
0.39
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
03.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL62.0¢1.72Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY61.0¢1.639Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY57.9¢1.727Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?SELL45.0¢4Mar 4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY2.8¢35.714Mar 2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?BUY25.0¢4Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY41.5¢2.41Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL94.4¢2.53Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY79.0¢2.532Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?SELL99.9¢4.54Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?BUY22.0¢4.545Feb 21
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL29.0¢1.92Feb 21
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for France by Feburary 1?BUY32.0¢3.125Jan 18
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionSELL51.0¢1.96Jan 18
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?BUY18.0¢5.556Jan 16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL16.0¢5.55Jan 16
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (January 18)BUY0.1¢1,000Jan 16
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (January 18)BUY0.1¢1,000Jan 16
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (January 18)BUY1.0¢100Jan 16
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionBUY51.0¢1.961Jan 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%17%< 10%8%10–20%29%20–30%13%30–50%17%50–70%13%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing3.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.20
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.3%
Win Consistency27.3%
Profit Factor0.09
Drawdown Resilience0.08
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.08
Weekly Sharpe est.0.06
Trading Activity33 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$102d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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