0x8Df92602EC9c454E8099D9dc4A3F0d21DaA0468C-1766855317883

0x8df926...a0468c

Smart Score

Win Rate

34.8%

Total P&L

+$37.3K

Trade Count

655

Sharpe Ratio

0.89

Sortino Ratio

58.21

Max Drawdown

9789.4%

ROI

47.4%

Profit Factor

285.17

Kelly Fraction

0.347

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	19.6¢	353.561	Mar 5
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	90.9¢	1,100.436	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	26.9¢	3,720.883	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	59.0¢	69	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	SELL	70.0¢	47.13	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	SELL	70.0¢	285.714	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	64.0¢	200	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	63.0¢	164.95	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	63.0¢	235.043	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	66.0¢	307.92	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	66.0¢	115.146	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	33.5¢	29.821	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	66.0¢	76.93	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	33.0¢	303.03	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	75.0¢	150	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	75.0¢	150	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	23.0¢	2,294.22	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	79.0¢	150	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	21.8¢	2,294.23	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	91.9¢	1,088.462	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.6%

Win Consistency53.3%

Profit Factor1.16

Drawdown Resilience0.94

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.94

Weekly Sharpe est.0.71

Trading Activity655 trades · 43 active days

P&L Calendar

+$13,09513d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue