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0x8dfe07...c66949

0x8dfe07...c66949
Smart Score
30
Win Rate
73.9%
Total P&L
+$6
Trade Count
48
Sharpe Ratio
-0.54
Sortino Ratio
-0.39
Max Drawdown
437.2%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
80.23
Kelly Fraction
0.730
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
030.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢16.12Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢16.129Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ETBUY99.8¢5.01Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.0¢3.807Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.0¢2.44Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.0¢6.25Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.3¢6.16Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.4¢6.16Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.2¢7.5Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY93.3¢7.503Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.6¢8.17Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.9¢8.172Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.7¢7.23Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.8¢7.231Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢5.051Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL68.0¢8.82Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY68.0¢8.824Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL96.2¢7.24Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY96.6¢7.246Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL58.4¢13.69Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%12%50–70%70–80%80–90%88%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.66
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.4%
Win Consistency60.9%
Profit Factor0.78
Drawdown Resilience0.63
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63
Weekly Sharpe est.0.48
Trading Activity48 trades · 7 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$311d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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