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0x8e0ff0...948c37

0x8e0ff0...948c37
Smart Score
30
Win Rate
70.4%
Total P&L
+$33
Trade Count
518
Sharpe Ratio
-0.42
Sortino Ratio
-0.31
Max Drawdown
9320.0%
ROI
0.0%
Profit Factor
18.69
Kelly Fraction
0.666
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
029.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.2¢1.089Mar 4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY95.0¢4.842Mar 4
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?BUY96.2¢2.266Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL53.2¢2.67Mar 4
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY95.8¢1.879Jan 18
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of January?BUY99.1¢1.725Jan 18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY95.3¢3.358Jan 18
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY96.8¢2.676Jan 18
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?BUY96.6¢1.139Dec 21
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?BUY94.7¢1.109Dec 21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY95.7¢1.129Dec 21
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?BUY93.0¢1.871Nov 6
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?BUY97.0¢1.649Nov 6
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY97.8¢1.636Nov 6
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?BUY98.1¢1.346Sep 26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,900 on September 27?BUY99.9¢1.601Sep 26
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?BUY96.5¢10.57Sep 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 4?BUY99.7¢1.605Aug 3
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?BUY94.0¢5.532Aug 3
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Western Conference?BUY97.2¢1.543Feb 22

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%94%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.64
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.1%
Win Consistency57.1%
Profit Factor0.77
Drawdown Resilience0.63
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63
Weekly Sharpe est.0.48
Trading Activity19 trades · 6 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$440d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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