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0x8e26c8...50cc94

0x8e26c8...50cc94
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
29.7%
Total P&L
+$141
Trade Count
47
Sharpe Ratio
0.72
Sortino Ratio
5.83
Max Drawdown
1447.5%
ROI
38.1%
Profit Factor
3.06
Kelly Fraction
0.200
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will France strike Iran by March 31?BUY13.0¢108.308Mar 5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?BUY46.0¢32.609Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY17.3¢115.607Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY22.8¢87.609Mar 4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY38.0¢26.316Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?BUY20.0¢25Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?BUY20.0¢25Mar 4
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY36.0¢55.556Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.1¢74.534Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY9.0¢222.389Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY63.0¢15.873Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY55.4¢18.054Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?BUY19.3¢25.907Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?BUY40.0¢25Mar 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL99.8¢31.25Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY24.8¢60.484Mar 1
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY7.3¢137.178Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?BUY53.0¢94.34Feb 27
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY21.0¢23.81Feb 24
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY23.0¢13.043Feb 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%31%< 10%20%10–20%18%20–30%20%30–50%11%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.75
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.9%
Win Consistency27.0%
Profit Factor0.83
Drawdown Resilience0.67
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67
Weekly Sharpe est.0.51
Trading Activity47 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2692d profit13d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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