0x8e3c39...09edb3

Smart Score

Win Rate

26.3%

Total P&L

-$33

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-3.17

Sortino Ratio

-3.55

Max Drawdown

1001.7%

ROI

-7.6%

Profit Factor

0.54

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	9.9¢	130.707	Mar 5
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?	SELL	41.0¢	31.56	Mar 3
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	5.3¢	58.868	Mar 3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	24.9¢	14.056	Mar 3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	16.5¢	40.1	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	38.192	Mar 3
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	7.8¢	382.86	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	42.0¢	20.738	Mar 2
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?	BUY	31.7¢	31.563	Mar 1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	17.5¢	40.107	Mar 1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	8.4¢	357.143	Mar 1
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	46.0¢	21.739	Mar 1
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	1.3¢	76.923	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	41.0¢	51.22	Mar 1
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	21.58	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	31.91	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	34.37	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	67.0¢	21.582	Feb 28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SELL	9.4¢	153.84	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	66.5¢	34.377	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency31.6%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity31 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$993d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue