0x8f7d96...c11c5b

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.6%

Total P&L

+$252

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.20

Sortino Ratio

0.90

Max Drawdown

725.6%

ROI

2.2%

Profit Factor

1.18

Kelly Fraction

0.086

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.6¢	6.57	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	85.3¢	1.32	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	88.2¢	14.46	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	26.0¢	4.077	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	45.0¢	9.467	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	87.0¢	3.977	Mar 5
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	BUY	99.9¢	63.963	Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	BUY	96.0¢	2.104	Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	BUY	96.0¢	1.146	Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	BUY	96.0¢	1.146	Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	BUY	96.0¢	1.146	Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	BUY	96.0¢	1.146	Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	BUY	96.0¢	1.146	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	89.9¢	25.684	Mar 4
Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	BUY	92.5¢	27.333	Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?	BUY	96.9¢	1.517	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	88.8¢	1.993	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	88.5¢	3.966	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	90.3¢	7.996	Mar 4
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	80.0¢	12	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.79

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.0%

Win Consistency40.3%

Profit Factor0.37

Drawdown Resilience0.30

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30

Weekly Sharpe est.0.23

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 51 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,13524d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue