0x8fd38b...810363

Smart Score

Win Rate

55.9%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.19

Sortino Ratio

-1.11

Max Drawdown

38223.2%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

-0.50

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	SELL	98.9¢	621	Mar 5
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.0¢	184	Mar 5
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.1¢	184	Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	BUY	99.0¢	621	Mar 5
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.7¢	116	Mar 5
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.1¢	687.4	Mar 5
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.8¢	116	Mar 4
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.2¢	687.4	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.3¢	487	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	SELL	99.7¢	315	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	315	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	487	Mar 4
Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?	SELL	99.8¢	5.6	Feb 27
Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?	BUY	99.9¢	5.6	Feb 27
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	99.8¢	43	Feb 21
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	54	Feb 21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	SELL	99.4¢	534	Feb 21
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	99.1¢	54	Feb 21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	534	Feb 21
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.7¢	411	Feb 21

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency14.7%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity67 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$212d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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