0x8fD8b3B79456A89cEAb90609b664940B7681dda9-1765546619918

0x8fd8b3...81dda9
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
98.6%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
73
Sharpe Ratio
-1.32
Sortino Ratio
-1.21
Max Drawdown
186321.2%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
73.48
Kelly Fraction
0.973
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
026.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY99.6¢21.606Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 4?BUY99.9¢10.631Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 3?BUY99.9¢10.62Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on March 3?BUY99.9¢10.61Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.8¢10.601Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?BUY99.9¢10.58Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.57Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 27?BUY99.9¢10.56Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?BUY99.9¢10.551Feb 26
Will Jensen Huang attend the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY99.9¢10.541Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 47°F or below on February 22?BUY99.9¢10.53Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 22?BUY99.9¢10.52Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or below on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.511Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.5Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.49Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.47Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.46Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.45Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.44Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.43Feb 17
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.0%
Win Consistency16.4%
Profit Factor0.69
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity73 trades · 45 active days
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P&L Calendar
$7610d profit45d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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