djnz

0x8fef85...3513ce

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.0%

Total P&L

+$44

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

-15.92

Sortino Ratio

-27.18

Max Drawdown

232168.7%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

1.06

Kelly Fraction

0.046

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	83.0¢	12.048	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	57.0¢	7.632	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?	SELL	98.6¢	4.33	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?	BUY	90.0¢	4.333	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	SELL	61.0¢	6.16	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	73.0¢	6.164	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 5?	SELL	70.0¢	6.57	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 5?	BUY	76.0¢	6.579	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	SELL	96.5¢	5.28	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	BUY	83.2¢	5.288	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 3?	SELL	99.6¢	4.08	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 3?	BUY	49.0¢	4.084	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on March 2?	BUY	5.0¢	100	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 2?	BUY	22.7¢	22.025	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 28?	BUY	60.0¢	8.338	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	SELL	99.0¢	5.91	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	BUY	91.0¢	5.92	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	SELL	75.0¢	5.07	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	BUY	91.0¢	5.09	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	SELL	71.0¢	5.07	Feb 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.7%

Win Consistency2.9%

Profit Factor0.05

Drawdown Resilience0.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.03

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,4002d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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