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0x901cc6...963581

0x901cc6...963581
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
81.1%
Total P&L
-$5
Trade Count
453
Sharpe Ratio
0.33
Sortino Ratio
0.76
Max Drawdown
100.0%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
5.78
Kelly Fraction
0.670
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL96.6¢31.68Mar 5
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY97.0¢11.68Mar 4
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY97.0¢20Mar 4
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL91.9¢38.85Mar 4
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY97.5¢38.85Mar 4
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL97.5¢39.54Mar 4
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY97.5¢39.54Mar 3
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL96.6¢44.49Mar 3
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY96.7¢44.49Mar 3
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢42.17Mar 3
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.8¢42.17Mar 3
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL97.4¢42.75Mar 3
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY97.6¢42.75Mar 2
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL97.7¢36.74Feb 27
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY97.8¢36.74Feb 27
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL97.7¢33.11Feb 27
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY97.8¢33.12Feb 27
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.2¢48.05Feb 27
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY93.4¢48.05Feb 27
Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?SELL96.8¢38.26Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.86
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.8%
Win Consistency36.4%
Profit Factor0.88
Drawdown Resilience0.71
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71
Weekly Sharpe est.0.54
Trading Activity453 trades · 32 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6410d profit22d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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