0x905790...efc47e

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.3%

Total P&L

-$10.7K

Trade Count

592

Sharpe Ratio

0.55

Sortino Ratio

5.22

Max Drawdown

325.1%

ROI

-16.5%

Profit Factor

0.22

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	BUY	57.0¢	29.41	Jan 31
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	BUY	57.0¢	0.59	Jan 31
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	BUY	57.0¢	500	Jan 31
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?	BUY	33.0¢	42.1	Jan 30
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?	BUY	33.0¢	2.32	Jan 30
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?	BUY	33.0¢	355.58	Jan 30
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	SELL	61.4¢	704.65	Jan 30
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	BUY	88.9¢	132	Jan 29
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	BUY	88.4¢	10	Jan 29
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	BUY	89.8¢	26.06	Jan 29
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	BUY	89.0¢	9.091	Jan 29
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	BUY	89.0¢	5	Jan 29
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	BUY	87.9¢	522.5	Jan 29
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?	BUY	75.0¢	317.69	Jan 24
Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?	SELL	99.1¢	233.71	Jan 24
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?	BUY	72.0¢	300	Jan 24
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?	BUY	1.6¢	20	Jan 23
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?	BUY	1.6¢	29.98	Jan 23
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?	BUY	1.6¢	50	Jan 23
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?	BUY	1.6¢	11.31	Jan 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.62

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.3%

Win Consistency63.9%

Profit Factor0.29

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity592 trades · 46 active days

P&L Calendar

$19,48310d profit36d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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