0x9078e1...2126af

Smart Score

Win Rate

39.8%

Total P&L

+$14.1K

Trade Count

618

Sharpe Ratio

0.64

Sortino Ratio

5.78

Max Drawdown

4846.4%

ROI

33.2%

Profit Factor

5.55

Kelly Fraction

0.326

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

042.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strikes Iraq by March 31	BUY	9.0¢	3.25	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	8.1¢	1,839.96	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	19.0¢	26.49	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	19.0¢	34.737	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	19.0¢	3.57	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	19.0¢	29.33	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	19.0¢	21.2	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	19.0¢	8.05	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	36.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	BUY	50.0¢	359.79	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	BUY	50.0¢	3.313	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	33.0¢	126.17	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	33.0¢	20.896	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	33.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	33.0¢	32.05	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	33.0¢	90.88	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	31.0¢	213.04	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	31.0¢	86.957	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	35.0¢	287.18	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	35.0¢	6.41	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing42.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.33

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.5%

Win Consistency36.8%

Profit Factor1.10

Drawdown Resilience0.89

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.89

Weekly Sharpe est.0.68

Trading Activity618 trades · 38 active days

P&L Calendar

+$3,1467d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue