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0x90948c...e4a787

0x90948c...e4a787
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
47.1%
Total P&L
+$397
Trade Count
33
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Sortino Ratio
0.56
Max Drawdown
347.5%
ROI
2.0%
Profit Factor
3.50
Kelly Fraction
0.336
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Sabres vs. PenguinsBUY49.0¢203.69Mar 5
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.1¢927.17Mar 5
Will Paradex launch a token by April 30 2026?BUY99.8¢46.072Mar 4
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢927.17Mar 4
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.1¢885.05Mar 4
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢885.05Mar 4
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.2¢878.83Mar 4
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY37.0¢242.52Mar 3
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.3¢878.83Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?SELL99.6¢765Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?BUY99.7¢765Mar 3
Spread: Heat (-12.5)BUY52.0¢174.48Mar 3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.7¢85.516Mar 2
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢962Mar 2
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢962Mar 1
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5BUY49.0¢220.62Mar 1
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.6¢1,060.87Mar 1
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.7¢1,060.87Mar 1
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢1,074Feb 27
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢1,074Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%13%30–50%17%50–70%9%70–80%80–90%61%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.08
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.8%
Win Consistency18.2%
Profit Factor0.51
Drawdown Resilience0.41
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31
Trading Activity33 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,4340d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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