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0x90a79c...579e54

0x90a79c...579e54
Smart Score
12
Win Rate
53.0%
Total P&L
-$8.6K
Trade Count
451
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07
Sortino Ratio
-0.54
Max Drawdown
4673.0%
ROI
-4.6%
Profit Factor
0.64
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
011.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL66.1¢1,022.03Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL96.1¢679.58Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY96.1¢74.162Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?SELL1.1¢6,674.32Mar 3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY69.2¢1,022.03Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?BUY25.0¢1,997.686Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL74.0¢252.34Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY79.3¢252.339Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL58.0¢216.66Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY62.0¢216.661Mar 2
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?SELL41.8¢321.37Mar 2
Will Donald Trump make no endorsement or endorse someone other than Ken Paxton, John Cornyn, or Wesley Hunt for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?BUY92.0¢580.036Mar 2
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?SELL99.9¢534.12Mar 2
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?BUY40.0¢321.371Mar 2
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?SELL71.0¢181.25Mar 2
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?BUY72.0¢181.25Mar 2
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?SELL31.2¢417.74Mar 2
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?BUY88.8¢534.125Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?SELL64.0¢741.18Mar 1
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?BUY39.2¢2,137.229Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%7%10–20%8%20–30%12%30–50%30%50–70%16%70–80%10%80–90%13%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.65
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.7%
Win Consistency28.5%
Profit Factor0.31
Drawdown Resilience0.25
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25
Weekly Sharpe est.0.19
Trading Activity451 trades · 47 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$30,7606d profit32d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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