0x90daca...a9a520

Smart Score

Win Rate

69.4%

Total P&L

-$27

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.07

Sortino Ratio

-0.06

Max Drawdown

4.1%

ROI

-0.6%

Profit Factor

-0.47

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be at least 400k?	BUY	99.9¢	15.155	Mar 5
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	99.5¢	20.51	Mar 5
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	20.512	Feb 23
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	SELL	98.7¢	28.51	Feb 23
Will Golden by HUNTR/X: EJAE, Audrey Nuna & REI AMI be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 21?	BUY	99.5¢	18.332	Feb 10
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	32.83	Feb 10
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	28.514	Feb 5
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	47.24	Feb 5
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	32.832	Jan 31
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.4¢	1,160	Jan 31
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)	BUY	69.0¢	4.348	Jan 20
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.5¢	1,160	Jan 20
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3)	BUY	76.0¢	7.895	Jan 18
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	0.8¢	2,722.22	Jan 18
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	SELL	93.9¢	51.95	Jan 14
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	0.9¢	2,722.222	Jan 14
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	47.247	Jan 7
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	99.5¢	51.96	Jan 4
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	45.64	Jan 4
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	45.645	Dec 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.63

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.0%

Win Consistency61.5%

Profit Factor0.77

Drawdown Resilience0.62

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity72 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

$12821d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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