0x90e936...7fd01a

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$1.1K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.56

Sortino Ratio

0.61

Max Drawdown

145.3%

ROI

4.3%

Profit Factor

6.22

Kelly Fraction

0.420

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	882	Mar 5
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	882	Mar 5
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	99.8¢	41.974	Mar 4
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	649.86	Mar 4
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	649.87	Mar 4
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	726.76	Mar 4
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	BUY	75.0¢	137.6	Mar 3
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	726.76	Mar 3
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.6¢	747.67	Mar 3
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.7¢	747.673	Mar 3
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.0¢	849.76	Mar 3
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.0¢	849.76	Mar 3
Predators vs. Blue Jackets	BUY	54.0¢	213.02	Mar 3
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.7¢	746.5	Mar 2
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.9¢	746.506	Mar 2
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	99.4¢	86.59	Mar 2
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?	BUY	50.0¢	221.46	Mar 2
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	976.59	Mar 2
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	976.59	Mar 1
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.7¢	835.04	Mar 1

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.6%

Win Consistency30.8%

Profit Factor0.73

Drawdown Resilience0.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity42 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,6820d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue