0x9260b4...3b3d93

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.8%

Total P&L

-$44

Trade Count

181

Sharpe Ratio

0.18

Sortino Ratio

0.36

Max Drawdown

121.9%

ROI

-3.4%

Profit Factor

0.62

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	32.5¢	7	Mar 5
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	4.3¢	69.767	Mar 5
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	15.2¢	32.807	Feb 26
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	34.8¢	14.368	Feb 25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	18.0¢	62.72	Feb 23
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	21.0¢	41.66	Feb 21
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	28.0¢	40	Feb 21
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	6.0¢	100	Feb 16
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	9.0¢	91.53	Feb 16
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	24.0¢	41.667	Feb 11
Seahawks vs. Patriots	SELL	18.0¢	12.5	Feb 8
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	7.0¢	33.33	Feb 5
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	9.0¢	30.5	Feb 5
Seahawks vs. Patriots	BUY	32.0¢	12.5	Jan 30
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	6.1¢	16.522	Jan 30
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	11.0¢	27.273	Jan 29
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	35.3¢	54.64	Jan 25
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	16.0¢	31.25	Jan 25
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	0.6¢	513.6	Jan 25
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	32.0¢	6.25	Jan 23

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.78

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.9%

Win Consistency50.8%

Profit Factor0.37

Drawdown Resilience0.30

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30

Weekly Sharpe est.0.23

Trading Activity181 trades · 60 active days

P&L Calendar

$17828d profit32d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue