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0x936c4d...c3daa1

0x936c4d...c3daa1
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
86.0%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
176
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Sortino Ratio
-0.12
Max Drawdown
189.2%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
1.44
Kelly Fraction
0.264
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?BUY71.0¢1.408Mar 5
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?BUY96.4¢1.037Mar 5
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL85.0¢1.14Feb 27
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?SELL78.0¢1.25Feb 27
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY87.0¢1.149Feb 27
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?BUY80.0¢1.25Feb 27
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?SELL79.7¢1.16Feb 24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?SELL94.0¢1.05Feb 24
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?BUY85.7¢1.167Feb 24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY95.0¢1.053Feb 24
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL88.0¢1.13Feb 20
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?SELL81.0¢1.17Feb 20
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY89.0¢1.124Feb 20
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY85.0¢1.176Feb 20
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL83.0¢1.17Feb 18
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?SELL75.0¢1.33Feb 18
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?BUY75.0¢1.333Feb 18
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY85.0¢1.176Feb 18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?SELL41.0¢1.49Feb 12
Government shutdown on Saturday?SELL96.2¢1.04Feb 12

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%9%50–70%12%70–80%26%80–90%52%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.01
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.7%
Win Consistency51.7%
Profit Factor0.48
Drawdown Resilience0.38
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity176 trades · 46 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$102d profit42d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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