0x937860...a2a1dd

Smart Score

Win Rate

18.2%

Total P&L

-$991

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.71

Sortino Ratio

62.78

Max Drawdown

475.7%

ROI

-47.8%

Profit Factor

-0.01

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump say "Hottest" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	SELL	38.0¢	87.71	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	2.1¢	877.94	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	1.8¢	484.444	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	80	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Hottest" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	57.0¢	87.719	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	BUY	54.0¢	18.533	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	2.5¢	393.5	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	62.4¢	134.579	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	BUY	0.9¢	2,076.656	Mar 3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL	18.0¢	103.83	Mar 3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	19.0¢	15.684	Mar 3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	20.0¢	72.2	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	SELL	2.0¢	721.99	Mar 1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	19.0¢	15.947	Feb 28
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	17.3¢	721.996	Feb 28
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	8.8¢	568.263	Feb 24
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	28.0¢	157.357	Feb 24
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	BUY	0.3¢	149,040	Jan 1
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	SELL	0.3¢	149,040.65	Jan 1
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	BUY	0.3¢	66,796.667	Jan 1

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.86

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.2%

Win Consistency27.3%

Profit Factor0.41

Drawdown Resilience0.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33

Weekly Sharpe est.0.25

Trading Activity24 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0090d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue