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0x94157f...a544ba

0x94157f...a544ba
Smart Score
48
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
-$6
Trade Count
26
Sharpe Ratio
6.42
Sortino Ratio
14.32
Max Drawdown
34.4%
ROI
-21.3%
Profit Factor
-0.36
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
047.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?SELL1.0¢29.16Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?SELL1.0¢26.52Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?SELL1.0¢40.11Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY24.0¢4.167Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY24.0¢4.167Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY24.0¢4.167Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?BUY2.5¢40.118Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY25.0¢4Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY24.0¢4.167Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?BUY3.8¢26.524Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?BUY3.4¢29.167Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY8.0¢12.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY8.0¢12.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY8.0¢12.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY7.2¢13.875Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY8.0¢12.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY7.0¢14.286Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?SELL26.0¢10.83Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?BUY33.0¢3.03Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY21.0¢4.762Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%41%< 10%10–20%27%20–30%9%30–50%23%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing47.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.62
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.3%
Win Consistency66.7%
Profit Factor1.24
Drawdown Resilience1.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.76

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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