0x94a89a...36997b

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.9%

Total P&L

+$19

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.06

Sortino Ratio

0.14

Max Drawdown

395.7%

ROI

7.7%

Profit Factor

1.99

Kelly Fraction

0.213

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	BUY	85.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	SELL	20.0¢	39.84	Mar 2
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	10	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	50.0¢	20	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	50.0¢	10	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	60.0¢	10	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	36.0¢	26.57	Feb 28
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	SELL	20.0¢	80.061	Feb 24
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	SELL	20.0¢	7.63	Feb 23
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	BUY	13.0¢	7.54	Jan 27
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	BUY	13.0¢	10	Jan 27
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	BUY	14.0¢	10	Jan 27
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	BUY	13.0¢	20	Jan 26
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	BUY	14.0¢	20	Jan 26
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	BUY	13.0¢	20	Jan 26
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	BUY	14.0¢	20	Jan 26
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	BUY	15.0¢	20	Jan 26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	27.0¢	14.815	Jan 19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	34.0¢	11.765	Jan 10
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?	SELL	15.0¢	5.55	Jan 10

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.21

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.0%

Win Consistency44.8%

Profit Factor0.57

Drawdown Resilience0.46

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity82 trades · 45 active days

P&L Calendar

$3014d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue