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0x94b81a...dd0800

0x94b81a...dd0800
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
26.9%
Total P&L
-$71
Trade Count
104
Sharpe Ratio
0.83
Sortino Ratio
5.48
Max Drawdown
2179.3%
ROI
-10.2%
Profit Factor
0.81
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
022.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY3.0¢656.989Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY0.2¢3,000Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY0.2¢5,000Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY7.0¢28.571Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETBUY19.0¢5.263Feb 28
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL99.9¢12.5Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?BUY6.1¢16.393Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?BUY1.5¢66.667Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY54.0¢1.852Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY29.0¢3.448Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY13.0¢7.692Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY42.0¢2.381Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY5.0¢20Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY27.0¢3.704Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY7.0¢14.286Feb 25
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7¢134.675Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETBUY9.0¢11.111Feb 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETBUY26.0¢3.846Feb 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETBUY30.0¢3.333Feb 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%47%< 10%18%10–20%14%20–30%9%30–50%5%50–70%3%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.23
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.3%
Win Consistency40.0%
Profit Factor0.58
Drawdown Resilience0.47
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47
Weekly Sharpe est.0.36
Trading Activity104 trades · 27 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3762d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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