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0x9539e2...8bda53

0x9539e2...8bda53
Smart Score
16
Win Rate
59.3%
Total P&L
-$7
Trade Count
261
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Sortino Ratio
4.10
Max Drawdown
9691.3%
ROI
-2.7%
Profit Factor
-0.18
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
015.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?BUY98.8¢1.012Mar 5
Cerebras IPO before 2027?SELL91.0¢1.08Feb 26
Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY92.0¢1.087Feb 26
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?SELL92.0¢1.07Feb 26
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?BUY93.0¢1.075Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY1.0¢100Feb 19
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL74.0¢1.33Feb 17
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY75.0¢1.333Feb 17
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?SELL52.0¢3.77Feb 17
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?BUY53.0¢3.774Feb 17
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL70.0¢1.35Feb 12
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY74.0¢1.351Feb 12
Government shutdown on Saturday?SELL96.2¢1.03Feb 12
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY96.5¢1.036Feb 12
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL71.0¢1.33Feb 12
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY75.0¢1.333Feb 12
Government shutdown on Saturday?SELL81.0¢1.22Feb 12
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY82.0¢1.22Feb 12
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL73.0¢1.33Feb 11
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY75.0¢1.333Feb 11

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%9%30–50%30%50–70%19%70–80%9%80–90%27%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.86
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.3%
Win Consistency46.7%
Profit Factor0.41
Drawdown Resilience0.33
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33
Weekly Sharpe est.0.25
Trading Activity261 trades · 65 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$103d profit62d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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