0x953ec6...2e2e34

0x953ec6...2e2e34
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
66.7%
Total P&L
+$1.2K
Trade Count
35
Sharpe Ratio
-0.98
Sortino Ratio
-1.09
Max Drawdown
98.1%
ROI
4.3%
Profit Factor
27.72
Kelly Fraction
0.643
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
021.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢1,594.6Mar 5
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.6¢1,212Mar 5
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.7¢1,212Mar 5
Will Paradex launch a token by May 31, 2026?BUY99.9¢76.35Mar 4
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.1¢1,507.28Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.6¢121.576Mar 4
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢1,507.28Mar 4
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.6¢1,326.56Mar 4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY60.0¢256.37Mar 3
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.7¢1,326.56Mar 3
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.2¢1,035.83Mar 3
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢1,035.83Mar 3
Blackhawks vs. JetsBUY59.0¢213.67Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?BUY99.8¢94.469Mar 2
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL99.1¢1,098.07Mar 2
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢1,098.07Mar 1
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.6¢1,201Mar 1
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.7¢1,201Mar 1
Panthers vs. IslandersBUY44.0¢183.33Feb 28
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢1,460.17Feb 27
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%8%30–50%24%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%64%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.20
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.9%
Win Consistency12.0%
Profit Factor0.57
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity35 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4,2670d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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