0x955c96...c8990f

Smart Score

Win Rate

80.3%

Total P&L

-$122.3K

Trade Count

993

Sharpe Ratio

-0.45

Sortino Ratio

-0.63

Max Drawdown

891.9%

ROI

-8.8%

Profit Factor

0.69

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	99.8¢	89,922.8	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	92.2¢	1,441.45	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	92.2¢	1,204.181	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	92.2¢	256.41	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	92.2¢	84.527	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	92.2¢	1,000	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	92.2¢	5	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	92.2¢	64.103	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	92.2¢	324.19	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	92.2¢	64.103	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	93.2¢	5,000	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	93.2¢	735.294	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	93.2¢	2,041.7	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	93.2¢	3,732.21	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	93.2¢	14.706	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	93.2¢	6,888.676	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	93.2¢	23.676	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	93.2¢	178.382	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	93.2¢	147.059	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	93.2¢	4,999.99	Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.63

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.4%

Win Consistency61.0%

Profit Factor0.30

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity993 trades · 38 active days

P&L Calendar

$933,6048d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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