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0x9565ea...0093ef

0x9565ea...0093ef
Smart Score
51
Win Rate
66.7%
Total P&L
-$3
Trade Count
19
Sharpe Ratio
3.82
Sortino Ratio
28.02
Max Drawdown
44.4%
ROI
-1.4%
Profit Factor
0.67
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
051.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY70.0¢26.343Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY30.0¢3.367Mar 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?BUY98.0¢27.816Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY82.0¢80.134Mar 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?BUY97.5¢10.768Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY83.0¢3.699Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL97.3¢2.38Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY83.0¢11.47Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY83.0¢29.795Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY83.6¢14.829Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY70.0¢10.8Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY71.8¢3.217Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?BUY64.0¢39.813Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?BUY65.0¢1.554Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY30.0¢3.367Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?BUY92.0¢7.609Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?BUY93.0¢1.43Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY73.0¢1.384Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY73.0¢1.384Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%11%20–30%30–50%17%50–70%22%70–80%28%80–90%22%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing51.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.81
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)46.5%
Win Consistency44.4%
Profit Factor1.33
Drawdown Resilience1.07
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.07
Weekly Sharpe est.0.82

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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