0x95836626B4Cd5ea4B6a864faDDedb736A684BD4d-1767159119125

0x958366...84bd4d
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
15.1%
Total P&L
+$3.8K
Trade Count
999
Sharpe Ratio
1.18
Sortino Ratio
267.29
Max Drawdown
350.6%
ROI
92.6%
Profit Factor
4.20
Kelly Fraction
0.115
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
037.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL10.8¢20.72Mar 5
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL4.7¢23.37Mar 5
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.1¢50.11Mar 5
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL1.9¢6.25Mar 5
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.1¢101.38Mar 5
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.1¢109.78Mar 5
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.1¢132Mar 5
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.1¢171.42Mar 5
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL2.5¢10.31Mar 5
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.4¢67.5Mar 5
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.1¢214.82Mar 5
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL1.8¢17.24Mar 5
Will Saeed Jalili be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.1¢231.74Mar 5
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.1¢254.06Mar 5
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL2.4¢25.1Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.4¢514.64Mar 5
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs South AfricaBUY0.1¢1,000Mar 1
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group StageBUY0.1¢1,000Mar 1
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1BUY1.2¢80.008Mar 1
Will Iran strike UAE in March?SELL1.6¢40.64Mar 1
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%63%< 10%13%10–20%8%20–30%10%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.06
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.0%
Win Consistency70.4%
Profit Factor0.97
Drawdown Resilience0.79
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.79
Weekly Sharpe est.0.60
Trading Activity999 trades · 31 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,0185d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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