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0x95af9fcd47b7Abf6772E077Ba35D9599e1fdaBab-1772121023143

0x95af9f...fdabab
Smart Score
74
Win Rate
34.9%
Total P&L
+$2.8K
Trade Count
579
Sharpe Ratio
1.35
Sortino Ratio
97.97
Max Drawdown
8.0%
ROI
50.8%
Profit Factor
5.36
Kelly Fraction
0.284
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
074.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETBUY33.0¢5.879Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETSELL99.0¢1.96Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY97.0¢1.969Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY2.0¢50Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSELL97.0¢1.47Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY20.0¢5Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY66.9¢1.495Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETSELL98.0¢3.56Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY89.0¢3.573Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY16.0¢6.25Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY42.9¢2.331Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?SELL2.1¢246.4Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY5.3¢66.226Mar 3
Will France strike Iran by March 31?SELL14.9¢11Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL39.0¢4.56Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY34.0¢2.941Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY40.9¢12.22Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL22.0¢27.67Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY74.9¢2.497Mar 3
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY5.7¢35.088Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%24%< 10%14%10–20%14%20–30%28%30–50%13%50–70%3%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active74.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.09
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)67.7%
Win Consistency59.1%
Profit Factor1.93
Drawdown Resilience1.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.56
Weekly Sharpe est.1.19
Trading Activity579 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6531d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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