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0x95Dbf764EFe4a12BA23732afC9fbDe0f314bf890-1767368567788

0x95dbf7...4bf890
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
30.3%
Total P&L
+$3.1K
Trade Count
3,028
Sharpe Ratio
0.70
Sortino Ratio
131.97
Max Drawdown
509.9%
ROI
22.0%
Profit Factor
2.34
Kelly Fraction
0.173
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?BUY3.4¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?BUY3.4¢8.28Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?BUY3.4¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY3.8¢2.391Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 6?BUY3.8¢2.391Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?BUY13.0¢23Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY3.8¢6.04Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY3.8¢8Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 6?BUY3.8¢21.86Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY11.0¢3.011Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on March 6?BUY40.0¢8Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY11.0¢2.55Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY7.9¢38Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?BUY3.4¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 6?BUY11.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 5?BUY0.1¢3,000Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?SELL74.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?SELL33.0¢6Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 6?SELL10.0¢22Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?SELL10.0¢5.68Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%8%10–20%8%20–30%30%30–50%33%50–70%6%70–80%7%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.74
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.8%
Win Consistency52.9%
Profit Factor0.82
Drawdown Resilience0.67
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67
Weekly Sharpe est.0.51
Trading Activity3,028 trades · 24 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$1,5917d profit17d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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