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0x95e5c3...cc19a1

0x95e5c3...cc19a1
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
57.5%
Total P&L
+$506
Trade Count
139
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Sortino Ratio
0.49
Max Drawdown
124.5%
ROI
4.8%
Profit Factor
1.40
Kelly Fraction
0.166
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY49.0¢200Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL49.0¢200Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY49.0¢200Mar 5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL93.0¢321.52Feb 22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL93.0¢46.59Feb 22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL93.0¢26.882Feb 22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY67.2¢209.57Feb 18
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY77.0¢33.03Feb 18
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY77.0¢434.783Feb 18
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY77.0¢4.348Feb 18
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY77.0¢21.739Feb 18
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY77.0¢21.739Feb 18
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?BUY77.0¢4.348Feb 18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY67.2¢8Feb 17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY67.2¢177.43Feb 17
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?BUY40.0¢500Feb 12
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY25.0¢1,452.66Feb 2
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY25.0¢13.99Feb 2
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY25.0¢133.35Feb 2
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY63.0¢319Jan 31

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%14%10–20%13%20–30%26%30–50%11%50–70%12%70–80%16%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.99
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.4%
Win Consistency53.7%
Profit Factor0.47
Drawdown Resilience0.38
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity139 trades · 52 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,74319d profit33d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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