0x9600fa...4fc78c

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.1%

Total P&L

+$19

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.74

Sortino Ratio

1.95

Max Drawdown

42.0%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

6.27

Kelly Fraction

0.480

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

057.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	1.6¢	100	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	99.9¢	150.52	Mar 2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	95.0¢	150.526	Feb 12
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.7¢	100	Feb 8
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.8¢	100	Feb 6
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.4¢	100	Feb 3
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.5¢	100	Feb 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	SELL	99.9¢	143.58	Feb 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	BUY	96.6¢	143.582	Jan 26
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	BUY	95.5¢	138.22	Jan 21
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?	SELL	98.9¢	100	Jan 18
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?	BUY	98.9¢	100	Jan 16
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.9¢	100	Jan 12
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Jan 12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.2¢	100	Jan 8
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.4¢	100	Jan 7
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	1.2¢	100	Jan 5
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	1.3¢	100	Jan 4
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	97.2¢	100	Dec 30
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	97.8¢	100	Dec 30

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active57.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.14

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)52.0%

Win Consistency34.6%

Profit Factor1.48

Drawdown Resilience1.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.91

Trading Activity50 trades · 50 active days

P&L Calendar

$12124d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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