0x962588...bc1dee

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.9%

Total P&L

-$1.4K

Trade Count

1,436

Sharpe Ratio

-0.04

Sortino Ratio

-0.08

Max Drawdown

1120.6%

ROI

-4.6%

Profit Factor

0.65

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	1.282	Mar 5
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	BUY	25.0¢	4	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	64.0¢	1.563	Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	88.0¢	94	Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	88.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	88.0¢	11.364	Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	88.0¢	110.375	Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	SELL	31.0¢	2.22	Mar 5
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	BUY	72.0¢	1.389	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	47.0¢	2.128	Mar 2
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	91.0¢	5	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	SELL	73.0¢	2.18	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	74.0¢	2.189	Feb 27
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	99.0¢	1.63	Feb 25
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	2.508	Feb 25
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	98.2¢	1.35	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	BUY	76.0¢	1.316	Feb 23
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	81.0¢	1.25	Feb 23
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	BUY	22.0¢	4.545	Feb 23
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Feb 23

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.39

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.4%

Win Consistency38.9%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.15

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.15

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity1,407 trades · 203 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,29553d profit149d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue