0x968ed0...7c609a

Smart Score

Win Rate

15.0%

Total P&L

-$264

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.57

Sortino Ratio

3.67

Max Drawdown

37.0%

ROI

-9.9%

Profit Factor

0.53

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

041.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	71.0¢	281.69	Mar 5
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	15.22	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	8.56	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	5	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	5.005	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	5.749	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	5.739	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	5.739	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	7.42	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	10	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	10	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	10	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	10	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	5	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	10	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	2.9	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	6.713	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	6.713	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	5	Jan 30
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?	BUY	0.5¢	8.55	Jan 30

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing41.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.0%

Win Consistency47.6%

Profit Factor1.08

Drawdown Resilience0.88

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.88

Weekly Sharpe est.0.67

Trading Activity98 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$6745d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue